Free Picks

Cavaliers vs Magic

1 ET | Kia Center

5-Unit Bet on the Over currently priced at 201.5 points.

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 22-10-1 Over record good for 69% winning bets since 2006. The requirements are:

·      Bet the Over.

·      The home team priced between a 3.5-point favorite and a 3.5-point underdog.

·      The game occurs in the playoffs.

·      The home team is coming off a home win.

·      The road team shot less than 25% from beyond the arc.

Consider betting 75% preflop and then look to add the remaining 25% of your 8-Unit best bet at 196.5 points during the first half of action.

My predictive model shows an 82% probability that the Magic have an 85% probability that they will score 111 or more points and have the same or fewer turnovers. In home games over the last five seasons the Magic have seen the Over go 31-11 for 74% winning bets when they have met these performance measures in games that had a posted total of 200 or more points.

This is a free play on Manchester United.

You would expect to see the Red Devils a bigger favorite here at Old Trafford against a bottom feeder like Burnley, but we might see some desperation as Burnley looks to avoid relegation. Manchester United though still has plenty to prove, and Erik Ten Hag might be immediately sacked if they lose at home to Burnley. The Red Devils are 4-0-1 versus Burnley in the last five meetings, and these teams are separated by a goal differential of 33 in favor of Manchester United.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Saturday NBA Free play. My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Denver at 8:30 pm et on Saturday.

We've seen a considerable shift in the pointspread in this matchup with the Nuggets having taken a 3-0 lead in the series following another decisive victory in Game 3. We'll still note that Denver is 35-46 ATS in its last 81 games as a road favorite including a 12-19 ATS mark in that situation this season. In fact, the Nuggets are a long-term loser following an ATS win having gone 61-69 ATS over the last three seasons and 19-21 ATS this season. The Lakers are 27-24 ATS in their last 51 contests following a home loss including a 9-5 ATS mark this season. Take Los Angeles.

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Karine Silva

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

#25 NHL Free Play Carolina Hurricanes -178 over NY Islanders, Saturday 2 ET - The Hurricanes are already up 3-0 and we see this series ending today on Saturday. The Islanders had an unfortunate draw here in terms of the playoff seeding and are simply out-classed here. The Canes are ready to move on and rest up for the next series and will not let up here. The Islanders lost the first two games by a multi-goal margin and though the next one was only a 3-2 loss, the Isles trailed all the way. The fact they fell just short in a tight one-goal loss is a tough defeat to come back from. Had they got back into the series we might see this one differently but now down 3 games to none, the Isles won't quit of course but their confidence level is shot and the Canes want to end this now. Carolina has had some recent playoff disappointment and they appear to be on a mission. This one is a bit too pricey to make our premium pick listing for Saturday but the Hurricanes are absolutely worth a look here in Game 4 per the above. Lay it! 

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Cleveland at Orlando 1:00 ET

Cavaliers/Magic (UNDER)- The Orlando Magic hope for more home-court dominance in their Eastern Conference first-round playoff series. After being limited to 83 and 86 points in series-opening losses at Cleveland, the Magic regained their offensive footing on their home floor Thursday night, shooting 51.1 percent in a 121-83 romp that narrowed their series deficit to 2-1. Orlando also dominated the visitors on the boards, earning a 51-32 overall advantage while also retrieving 14 of their own misses, turning the offensive rebounds into an additional 22 points. The losing team has yet to score more than 86 points in the series....

Play UNDER!