Free Picks

1* Free Pick on Rams/Falcons: under 49½

The Rams bring the league’s top scoring offense to Atlanta, but they are limping into Monday night. Star receiver Davante Adams is doubtful with a hamstring injury. The offensive line is a massive concern. 

Starting right guard Kevin Dotson and tackle Rob Havenstein are out. Left tackle Alaric Jackson is questionable. Matthew Stafford won't have the same pocket protection to hunt big plays. 

Atlanta’s offense is stagnant. They rank 26th in scoring at just 20.5 points per game. Kirk Cousins is under center with Michael Penix Jr. on IR. 

Top targets Drake London and Kyle Pitts are both questionable. Neither is 100 percent. Atlanta has already been eliminated from the playoffs and lacks the firepower to keep pace in a shootout.

The Rams’ defense is the most underrated unit in this matchup. They rank 7th in points allowed, giving up just 19.9 per game. They should suffocate a limited Falcons passing game.

Expect L.A. to lean heavily on Kyren Williams to mask their line issues. This shortens the game and keeps the clock moving. 

This total inflated after the Rams’ 38-37 shootout last week. Public money is chasing the over, but the injury reports tell a different story. The value is on the Under.

I like the Under 49.5.

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #335 Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (1p.m., Sunday, January 4 CBS) Green Bay is locked into the No. 7 seed in the NFC Playoffs and thus the experts are expecting them to rest a lot of players in this game. Minnesota is still very weak at the quarterback position, and I am not sure this is a good spot for them laying this many points against a divisional opponent. Does Green Bay really want to enter the playoffs getting blown out in this game making it 4 straight losses? I think they will play some key players and be able to take this game down to the wire. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Football Card featuring top plays in NFL, College Football, NBA, and NHL. Sign-up now and let 54 years of handicapping experience work for you.

David's NBA Free Pick

We really like the under in this matchup. Both teams have 3-7 over/under records in their last 10 games and although the Bulls been one of the worst defensive teams in the league for the season, they've shown a lot more grit lately, especially home at United Center where they're on an 9-0 run to the under. 

This is a 1% FREE PLAY on the UNDER. 

1% GOLD RUSH on Coastal Carolina/Louisiana Tech: under 51½

1* Best Bet on Falcons +7½

No analysis provided.

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Orlando Magic -1.5

The spot really favors the Orlando Magic tonight.  They had yesterday off following their win over the Denver Nuggets at home on Saturday.  Anthony Black is really stepping up as one of the most improved players in the NBA.  He had 38 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists in the win.

The Toronto Raptors are coming off a 141-127 (OT) home win over the Golden State Warriors last night and will now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days.  They lost to Washington by 21 on Friday as 8-point favorites.

The Raptors will be short-handed tonight without two starters in RJ Barrett and Jakob Poeltl.  That makes this spot that much tougher for them considering Barnes played 42 minutes, Ingram 39 and Quickley 38 last night.  I question how much they'll have left in the tank for Orlando tonight.  Bet the Magic Monday.

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1* NBA - Nuggets/Heat FREE PICK on Nuggets -2

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Miami Heat +2.5

The Miami Heat are coming off consecutive blowout wins over the Hawks by 15 on the road and the Pacers by 26 at home.  They have gotten back two key pieces from injury in Pelle Larsson and Nikola Jovic.  Larsson had 21 points against the Hawks and 16 against the Pacers, while Jovic had 19 points against the Pacers and 10 against the Hawks.  These guys are both great offensive players and help open things up for everyone else.  The Denver Nuggets have been upset in each of their last two road games at Dallas and at Orlando.  The Nuggets are battling injuries right now playing without Gordon, Bruan and Cam Johnson.  They shouldn't be favored in Miami without those three tonight.  Give me the Heat.

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Pure Lock's FREE CBB play Monday 12-29-25

Evansville +12 1/2

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Mikey Sports FREE CBB play Monday 12-29-25

Middle Tennessee State +28 1/2

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Chip’s FREE NBA Winner

Dallas at Portland 10:30 ET

Mavericks (+) over Trailblazers - The Mavericks Copper Flagg is becoming a super star early in his career. Take DALLAS!

Utah +11.5

Utah is worth a free move. Washington has been hit or miss all season. They struggle at times and have shown some other signs where they look good. This is a bad matchup for them against Utah, who has won 2 of 3 and averages nearly 83 ppg. Expect the Utes to really keep this game close throughout as they’re going to push tempo on Washington. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the UTES ATS tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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Monday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Spurs -2.5

The Houston Rockets enter Monday's matchup at Toyota Center as heavy favorites, laying a hefty 15.5-point spread against the struggling Indiana Pacers. At first glance, this looks like a classic mismatch: Houston sits at 19-10 overall, boasting one of the league's stingiest defenses (allowing just 111.7 points per game, third-best in the NBA), while Indiana limps in at 6-26 with an eight-game losing streak and the league's 29th-ranked offense (109.8 PPG). The Rockets have also dominated at home, riding a four-game winning streak there and holding opponents well under their season averages.

Yet, digging deeper into betting trends and situational angles reveals significant value on the Pacers covering this inflated number. Large spreads of 14+ points have historically provided strong opportunities for underdogs in the NBA. While favorites cover these massive lines at a respectable clip when fully motivated, the cover rate drops notably in non-critical regular-season games, especially against teams perceived as "tanking" or depleted. Underdogs in these spots often hang around long enough, or benefit from late-game garbage time, to stay within the number, as leading teams frequently pull starters early to preserve health and avoid unnecessary minutes.

This dynamic plays perfectly into Monday's contest. Houston, already locked into a solid Western Conference position, has little incentive to run up the score against a Pacers squad dealing with multiple injuries and a clear focus on development. The Rockets rank high in defensive efficiency but have shown a tendency to coast in comfortable leads, resting key players like Alperen Sengun and others when margins balloon. Indiana, despite their poor record, has flashed competitiveness in spots this season and holds a 15-17-0 against-the-spread mark overall, decent for a team winning just 18.8% of games. On the road as big underdogs, they've covered in similar lopsided matchups more often than expected, thanks in part to opponents easing off the gas pedal.

Scheduling and motivation further tilt the scales. The Pacers are on the second night of a back-to-back after a tough loss, but that fatigue often translates to opponents treating the game as a "get-right" spot without maximum effort. Blowouts aren't guaranteed in a parity-driven league where bench units can keep games closer than projected, and large spreads like this one routinely produce backdoor covers late in the fourth quarter.

Pacers +15.5 stands out as one of the slate's premier value bets. Sharp money has already shown interest in Indiana here, and advanced metrics suggest the true line should be closer to 12 points given the garbage-time factor. Fade the public leaning heavily on Houston and grab the points with the road dog, expect Indiana to keep this within single digits or lose by a margin that cashes easily if the Rockets empty the bench early.

Monday CBB Free play. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over UT-Rio Grande Valley at 7:30 pm et on Monday.

We've cashed with UTRGV on a couple of occasions already this season but that's been in an underdog role. It's a different story on Monday as it finds itself favored at home against New Orleans. The Privateers have been idle for over two weeks since getting blown out on the road against Houston on December 13th. With ample time to fine-tune their game I expect to see them rebound on Monday. UTRGV has been off sicne December 20th, when it delivered a blowout victory over little-known CBS-Houston. It has reeled off a season-high back-to-back wins but I expect it to at the very least get taken down to the wire here. Note that while UTRGV owns the slightly better overall record this season, New Orleans has faced the considerably more difficult schedule by most metrics. Take New Orleans.

Cavaliers vs Spurs NBA Free Pick 

The Trend(s): The Spurs are coming off a humbling 127-114 loss as a double-digit home favorite over Utah, but they're 4-1 against the spread at home coming off a loss and the Cavs have been one of the most disappointing teams in the league against the spread. 

The Bet: SPURS (2%). 

14-4 (78%) premium pick run!