Mike Lundin Mike Lundin
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 20, 2026
Giants vs Royals
Royals
-113 at betus
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

Giants vs Royals MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): Royals right-hander Michael Wacha (5-7, 3.77 ERA) enters this start with one of the stronger quality-start profiles on the Kansas City staff, piling up 12 quality outings that speak to his ability to work six-plus innings and keep damage in check. Historically, Wacha has dominated this franchise, going 3-1 with a 1.94 ERA across 10 career starts versus the Giants, and even though his last meeting with them came back in 2024, that track record still creates a psychological edge. 

Giants righty Trevor McDonald (3-7, 5.02 ERA) has been volatile with a WHIP hovering around 1.30, and recent form shows inconsistency in both strikeout production and ability to avoid the long ball, including home runs allowed in back-to-back starts. 

The Bet: Royals (3%). 

Mike's been going through a rough stretch, but the longer-term results don’t lie: 28-15 (65%), +$12,560 with MLB runlines on $1,000 wagers since April 24. He has two MLB runline premium picks, one 4% TOP PLAY, locked in for Monday. 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 20, 2026
White Sox vs Rangers
Rangers
-1½ +130 at betus
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

MLB RUNLINE RIPPER

The Angle(s): Texas sends ace right-hander Jacob deGrom (8-3, 2.41 ERA) to the mound, and when he’s healthy he remains one of the most dominant strikeout arms in baseball, and owns a 1.80 ERA in three previous starts against Chicago. The White Sox counter with righty Erick Fedde (5-7, 3.78 ERA), who has been solid but not overpowering, and the White Sox are 4-1 Fedde's last five starts despite a 5.16 ERA. Against deGrom, they're unlikely to be able to bail him out. 

The Bet: Rangers -1½ (3%). 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 20, 2026
Nationals vs Rockies
Nationals
-1½ +125 at Bovada
Won
$125
Play Type: Top Premium

4% MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): This looks like a good spot to back the Washington Nationals to build further momentum after winning two of three in Oakland. With a 17-6 record and +67% ROI they've been a pure cash cow against left-handed pitchers on the road all season, and they once again catch a left-hander at Coors in Rockies veteran Kyle Freeland (5-8, 5.92 ERA), whose combination of below-average strikeout stuff and fly-ball tendencies can be exposed in the summer heat at altitude. The Nats hand the ball to Andrew Alvarez (2-3, 4.04 ERA) who has shown good stuff lately, and owns a 2.45 ERA away from Nationals Park this season. 

The moneyline is not a bad bet, but I going for the bigger payout. 

The Bet: Nationals -1½ (4%). 

PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
SERVICE BIO

Mike "Moneymaker" Lundin's experience as a professional poker player has proven to be an immeasurable asset in sports handicapping. He's a numbers guy, with a keen eye for spotting trends and stats that just don't jive with the odds offered by the bookmakers. All Mike's plays come with write ups backing up his selection, giving you a glimpse into his process of breaking down games.

----Bankroll Management----

Mike rates his plays between 100-500* with the 500* bets being the MAX B€T$. Bet each * with 1% of your bankroll. 

200* (2%) = Free picks and low-confidence / high-variance plays

300* (3%) = Regular plays

400* (4%) = TOP PLAY$ = Play of the Day and other top play releases

500* (5%) = MAX BET$ = Game of the Week, Month, and Game of the Year releases 

Just as in cash game poker, the goal is not to win that giant pot once in a while, but to build your bankroll slowly and steadily by identifying +EV situations to exploit. 

----Handicapping Methodology----

As a former online poker pro, Mike knows the value of creating systems and winning formulas through statistical analysis and math to use as a baseline, but much like poker, sports are played by human beings with emotions and feelings.

Identifying letdown spots, bounce-back spots and situational betting in general plays a big part in Mike's success in picking winners, but he's also not a stranger to locking in a bet based on stats and trends alone.