Brandon Lee Brandon Lee
**Top 10 FOOTBALL CAPPER in 2021 (59% Run)** Now is the time to get in on the action! Check out Thursday's Card ~ 2 Picks (1 NFL, 1 CFB).
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**56.4% L117 NFL Top Plays** 50* (NFL) - AFC North PLAY OF THE MONTH

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NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
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FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 26, 2021
Chargers vs. Chiefs
Chargers
+6½ -100
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

FREE PICK - Los Angeles Chargers +6.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 479

*Analysis Coming* 

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 24, 2021
Mariners vs Angels
Mariners
-115 at SC Consensus
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

FREE PICK - Seattle Mariners -115
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 927

I'll take my chances with the Mariners as a slim -115 road favorite against the Angels. No one is giving this Seattle team any shot of earning an AL Wild Card spot, but here they are just 2-games back of the Yankees for that final postseason spot. 

The Mariners just pulled off an impressive 4-game sweep at Oakland with a 6-5 win over the A's on Thursday. They are simply playing too well with too much at stake to not play them at this price. 

Even more so when you look how the Angels are struggling. LA was about to pull out a 3-2 win over the Astros yesterday, but they had lost their previous 5. 

Seattle will have Logan Gilbert on the mound. He's been outstanding in his last 2 starts. He gave up 2 ER in 6 against the Red Sox and then just 1 ER in 7 innings at KC. He's also 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 2 career starts vs the Angels (both this season). Give me the Mariners -115! 

**TOP 10 FOOTBALL in 2021** Brandon Lee is absolutely crushing the books on the gridiron to start this season. 

Sizzling 90-63 (58.8%) Over L153 CFB Picks. This includes a 62% (18-11) CFB In 2021

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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2021
Wake Forest vs Virginia
Virginia
-4 +101 at linepros
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Top Premium

50* (CFB) Friday Night CFB MAX UNIT Top Play (Virginia -4) 

I'll lay the 4-points at home with Virginia on Friday night. The Cavaliers will be hosting Wake Forest, who I think might be a bit overvalued coming into this game. The Demon Deacons are off to a 3-0 start and fresh off a 35-14 blowout win as a mere -4.5 point home favorite against Florida State. 

Good for them for whooping the Seminoles, but that's a bad Florida State team (I was completely wrong on the Seminoles...thought they would be much better). Their other two wins are against Old Dominion and Norfolk State. 

Not only will this be the first game that Wake is a dog, but it's also their first game away from home this year. I just think when a team plays 3 or more games at home to start the season, there's a really good chance they are going to be overvalued. Almost every team plays better at home than on the road. 

While the Demon Deacons are probably getting a little too much love, I think it's a decent buy low spot on Virginia after last week's ugly 39-59 loss to Sam Howell and the Tar Heels. That game was in North Carolina and while they had no answer for UNC's offense, their offense showed up and racked up 577 yards. 

I also think it says a lot about this team with how they responded in the 1st half. Virginia trailed 7-24 with more than 10 minutes to play in the 2nd quarter and managed to go into the half up 28-24. They just ran out of gas in the 2nd half. 

While I like Wake Forest quarterback Sam Hartman, the best QB in this game is Virginia's Brennan Armstrong. He went 39 of 54 for 554 yards and 4 TDs in that loss to UNC. His 1,298 passing yards in 2nd in the nation behind Fresno State's Jake Haener, who has played 1 more game. His 11 passing TDs also ranks 2nd in the country behind SMU's Tanner Mordecai, who has 16 with 7 of those coming against Abilene Christian. 

I definitely think there's an extra home field advantage in these weekday games. Not only do you get great atmosphere's in these night games with fans, but it's that much harder on the road team with 1 less day to prepare. Virginia is 11-3 ATS last 14 at home. 

Another factor for me in this game is revenge. Virginia wants to return the favor after losing 23-40 at Wake Forest last October. A game that was tied 23-23 in the 4th quarter before the Deacons scored 17 unanswered to close it out. Give me the Cavaliers -4! 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 25, 2021
Texas Tech vs Texas
Texas Tech
+8 -110 at William Hill
Play Type: Premium

40* (CFB) - Smart Money ATS SHOCKER (Texas Tech +8) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Red Raiders as a 8-point dog against the Longhorns Saturday night. I definitely think Texas should be favored at home, but no way should they be laying more than a touchdown. 

I was really high on the Red Raiders coming into this year. All signs pointed to them making a big jump from last year's 4-6 team. It's now year 3 under head coach Matt Wells, who is a guy I really like (two time MW COY). It's now a roster full of guys he's recruited for his style of play. 

Texas Tech is off to a 3-0 start. They have played a pretty easy schedule, but did beat Houston 38-21 as a 3-point dog on a neutral site. 

The Red Raiders are scoring 40.0 ppg and it's come against teams who on average allow just 27.2. They got a crazy good 7.6 yards/play, are averaging 5.7 yards/carry and completing 67.1% of their pass attempts. 

The defense is only giving up 291 ypg, 4.0 yards/play and allowing just 1.8 yards/carry vs the run. There's no reason Tech can't win this game outright and if I was making the number here it would be Texas -4. Give me the Red Raiders +8! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 25, 2021
LSU vs Mississippi State
Mississippi State
+2½ -110 at SC Consensus
Play Type: Top Premium

50* (CFB) - SEC Conf PLAY OF THE WEEK (Miss St +2.5)

I love the Bulldogs as a home dog against LSU. The books are begging you to lay less than a field goal with the Tigers, but they got no business being favored in this game. I really think LSU is still overvalued from that title team with Burrow a couple of years ago. It's looking more and more like a fluke. 

As soon as Burrow and offensive guru Joe Brady left town, LSU has struggled to beat good teams. We already seen them lose by double-digits on the road against UCLA. That's a good Bruins team, but one a good LSU team should beat pretty handedly. 

Mississippi State is 2-1 with wins over La Tech and NC State. The lone loss was last week's 29-31 setback at Memphis. If you didn't see it, the Bulldogs got absolutely screwed in that game by a horrible call by the refs. The win that really stands out is the 24-10 victory against NC State. A game they closed as a slim home dog. 

I just really like what Mike Leach is doing in Starkville. As you would expect with a Leach offense, they sling it on just about every play. Defending the pass hasn't exactly been a strong suit of the Tigers. Last year Mississippi State had 623 passing yards in a 44-34 upset win at LSU. 

I also think the Bulldogs defense is very underrated. They are giving up just 5 yards/play, which isn't out of this world, but it's come against teams who are averaging 6.7 yards/play on the season. LSU has given up 4.6 yards/play and it's been against offenses that average 4.9 yards/play. Give me Mississippi State +2.5! 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 25, 2021
Missouri vs Boston College
Boston College
+2 -109 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

40* (CFB) Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER (Boston College +2) 

I'm going to take the Boston College +2 at home against Missouri. The Eagles come in 3-0, but I think they are still flying a bit under the radar. A lot of that has to do with the loss of starting quarterback Phil Jurkovec and the lack of quality wins they have on their resume.

I also think that while Missouri is far from an SEC power, a lot of people just see SEC vs ACC and automatically lay the short number with the Tigers without even looking into this game. 

The loss of Jurkovec is a tough blow for BC, but not all is lost with backup Dennis Grosel. I know he was a pedestrian 7 of 15 for 59 yards in last week's game against Temple, but I think that was a direct result of the Eagles feeling like they didn't need to throw with how they were running it and playing defense. That's how this team wants to win. They want to run the ball behind one of the best o-lines in the country and play solid defense. No surprise this is how they play under 2nd year head coach Jeff Hafley who worked his way up on the defensive side of the ball. 

Grosel was 11 of 14 for 199 yards the previous week against UMASS and if you remember back to last year he had that ridiculous game at Virginia to close out the year, going 32 of 46 for 520 yards and 4 TDs. If needed, I think he's more than capable of answering the call. 

As for the schedule, it's been 3 cupcake opponents for the Eagles with Colgate, UMASS and Temple. The most important thing is they dominated those games. They are +31 ppg, averaging 406 ypg and giving up just 256 ypg. Just because they haven't played anybody doesn't mean they aren't a good football team. 

As for Missouri, I got a lot of concerns with this team. They are 2-1 with wins over Central Michigan and SE Missouri St and a 28-35 loss at Kentucky. It's really what you would expect from this team if you were handicapping their first 3 games coming into the season. 

I just haven't been that impressed with how they have got there. They only beat the Chippewas 34-24 as a 14-point favorite. They needed a field goal in the final second of the 1st half to take their first lead 17-14 into intermission and they only led 24-21 midway thru the 4th quarter. That looks a lot worse after watching LSU just annihilate Central Michigan this past weekend. LSU was up 42-7 with about 10 minutes to play in the 3rd quarter before completely calling off the dogs in a 49-21 win. 

That game against Kentucky was also not as close as the score would indicate. The Wildcats outgained the Tigers 519 to 398 and if Kentucky doesn't fumble deep in Missouri territory that game is 28-7 early in the 2nd quarter. Missouri had to complete a 3rd and Goal from the 7 for their first score and scored on a 17-yard TD pass with 4 seconds on the clock in the 1st half. 

The other huge thing here with Missouri is their defense. I think there was some hope that they would be improved from last year, when they gave up 32.3 ppg and 408 ypg. It doesn't seem to be. While they are only giving up 31.3 ppg, they are allowing 456 ypg. They are giving up 269 ypg on the ground, 6.4 yards/carry. They also gave up over 300 yards passing to Central Michigan. 

That BC offensive line is going to dominate this game and I think the Eagles ball control offense could take Missouri out of their rhythm. Only Eastern Michigan is averaging fewer plays per game offensively than the Eagles through the first 3 weeks of the season. 

Lastly, I think there's some outside factors here favoring Boston College. First, you have Missouri head coach Eliah Drinkwitz saying how he wishes the Tigers were playing someone else out of conference and how he can't think of the last time Missouri even recruited a guy out of the state of UMass. He might not of meant it as a slight to the Eagles, but that's 100% how the players and coaches are going to see. 

This is also the first time that BC has got to host a SEC school since 1987. I know it's a 1 o'clock game out east, but I think it will be an electric atmosphere at Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill. Give me the Eagles +2! 

SERVICE BIO

Brandon Lee has grown up learning the ins and outs of the sports betting industry, and is well known for his ability to bring home consistent winners in every sport he handicaps. Being a successful handicapper requires a lot of work, something that Brandon really takes pride in. If you are serious about bringing home a profit, take the time to see what this handicapper has to offer. You won't be disappointed!