Matt Fargo |
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NBA on a 43-26 run. The NBA postseason continues on Tuesday and Matt has you covered as we are expecting a MASSIVE close to the season with the playoffs being a favorite of his! MLB will be back in action this week! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 22, 2024 Tigers vs Rays |
Rays +100 at BetVegas |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. Tampa Bay is coming off a series loss in New York against the Yankees to fall to 12-11 on the season. It has been up and down but the Rays are in a good matchup with a solid starter and a great recent bullpen facing a very poor offense. Detroit has gotten off to a good start at 12-10 following a series win at Minnesota and the tigers are now 8-3 on the road. They have gotten it done with pitching with a solid rotation and a great bullpen but they are overvalued here. Zack Littell has allowed three runs or less in all four of his starts which has carried over from last season where he posted a 3.93 ERA in 26 games that included 14 starts where he allowed three runs or less in 11 of those. Tarik Skubal came in as a top contender for the Cy Young and he has lived up to it but has had a beneficial schedule as his last three starts have come at home and his only road start was against the woeful White Sox. Here, we play on American League teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season, after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. This situation is 53-24 (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (966) Tampa Bay Rays |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 22, 2024 Phillies vs Reds |
Reds +108 at circa |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Monday Double Play. Philadelphia has won six straight games but the two series wins were against arguably the two worst teams in their respective leagues with Colorado and Chicago being two very bad teams. The Phillies are 14-8 overall and it has been a very favorable schedule with 16 of the 22 games taking place at home. Cincinnati is coming off a home sweep on the Angels over the weekend which came after getting swept on the road in Seattle. The Reds are 12-9 overall with a potent offense averaging 5.3 rpg including 5.5 rpg at home. Ranger Suarez is off to a great start with a 1.73 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in four starts and he has not allowed a run over his last two outings covering 15 innings. Hunter Greene had one bad start against Milwaukee but he has allowed two runs or less in his other three starts. Here, we play on National League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 averaging 4.7 or more rpg and hitting .230 or worse over their last 15 games going up against a team with a bullpen with an ERA of 4.50 or worse. This situation is 35-11 (76.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (954) Cincinnati Reds |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 22, 2024 Magic vs Cavs |
Magic +5½ -110 at Ace |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Home teams went 8-0 straight up in the first weekend for the first time since the 2013 playoffs while going 7-1 against the number. Taking into account in the NBA Play-In Tournament games, home teams went 13-1 straight up and 11-3 ATS so it has been host dominant but this will start to balance out. In the three previous seasons where the home teams went 6-2 ATS or better in Game One, Game Two saw a dead even ATS mark of 12-12 ATS. The one road team Monday that looks to bounce back is Orlando as it is coming off an awful game where the offense managed only 83 points on 32.6 percent shooting, its worst performance on that end of the floor, its worst shooting performance on the entire season. Cleveland has one of the best defenses in the NBA overall but it struggled down the stretch as the Cavaliers allowed 48 percent or higher in 10 of its last 12 regular season games. It was a 2-2 season series split during the regular season and Orlando has gone 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games after having lost four of its last five games while Cleveland is 15-23-1 ATS this season following a cover. Here, we play on teams after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 128-81 ATS (61.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (501) Orlando Magic |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 23, 2024 Astros vs Cubs |
Astros -108 at YouWager |
Lost $108.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS as part of our MLB Tuesday Double Play. It has been a rough start for Houston which is off to a 7-16 start after a series loss at Washington. The offense is leading baseball in hitting but it is not coming through in the clutch by not scoring while the pitching has struggled. J.P. France has a 7.08 ERA and 1.67 WHIP through four starts but those numbers are inflated due to one bad outing against Texas and he has allowed three runs or less in his other three starts. The Cubs are coming off a home split against Miami to remain four games over .500 yet come in as an underdog. Jordan wicks is the season as he has a 5.29 ERA and 1.77 WHIP through four starts and he has yet to make it out of the fifth inning in any of those. Here, we play against teams averaging 5.0 or more rpg and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse on the season going up against a team with a bullpen whose ERA is 5.00 or higher. This situation is 56-26 (68.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (929) Houston Astros |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Apr 23, 2024 Phillies vs Reds |
Reds +113 at YouWager |
Won $113 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Tuesday Double Play. We played against the Phillies last night and it came away with its seventh straight win with the first six coming against the Rockies and White Sox which are a combined 8-37. They have a tougher matchup tonight yet come in as a bigger favorite. Cincinnati had its three-game winning streak snapped with its potent offense getting shutout for the first time this season. Andrew Abbott is off to a solid start with a 2.70 ERA and 1.07 WHIP through four starts, allowing no more than two runs in any of those outings. Since entering the rotation last June, he has a 3.69 ERA over 25 career starts. Cristopher Sanchez is also off to a good start with a 2.53 ERA and 1.31 WHIP but his one bad outing was his lone road start at Washington. Here, we play on National League home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 averaging 4.7 or more rpg and hitting .230 or worse over their last 15 games going up against a team with a bullpen with an ERA of 4.50 or worse. This situation is 35-12 (74.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (902) Cincinnati Reds |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Apr 23, 2024 Mavs vs Clippers |
Mavs -2 -110 at circa |
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Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Home teams are now 11-0 in the postseason following a 3-0 Monday yet numbers have not changed or reflected that and this is one road team we will back to get into the win column. Following a loss in Game One where they never led and trailed by as many as 29 points, the Mavericks have now dropped three straight games but prior to this, they were on a roll. They were 16-2 in their previous 18 games and have one of the better matchups of all teams with the road disadvantage. While they have been good at home, they are 25-17 on the road and Dallas has been writing money in these spots, going 20-6 straight up and 19-5 against the number as road favorites despite the loss on Sunday. The Clippers lost their final three games of the regular season before taking Game One thanks to a sparkling defensive effort as they allowed only 30 first half points and that certainly will not happen again. Kawhi Leonard was questionable for Game One, did not play, and is now deemed out until early May. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off two or more consecutive road losses, playing 6 or less games in 14 days. This situation is 89-43 ATS (67.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) Dallas Mavericks |
SERVICE BIO |
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Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |