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Jimmy Boyd |
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| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| MLB | May 20, 2026 A's vs. Angels |
Angels +115 at CIRCA |
in 11h |
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1* Free Pick on Angels +115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 19, 2026 Astros vs Twins |
Astros +127 at circa |
Won $127 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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4* VEGAS INSIDER on Astros +127 Houston is 19-30 and the public sees a 6.86 ERA next to Astros starter Lance McCullers. That's why this number is +127. The market priced this game off the names on the IL and the ERA on the scoreboard. It missed the rest. The opposition case is real. McCullers has been hit, his WHIP is 1.52, and Twins starter Zebby Matthews opened his book with 7 shutout innings against Miami. I get it. But Matthews has exactly one big-league start. His Statcast sample is 25 plate appearances. A 0.00 ERA against a 1.66 xERA is a billboard, not a track record. Veteran lefty Yordan Alvarez and Isaac Paredes have seen plenty of rookies in their second time through a league. The scouting report tightens up fast. Matthews' second start, on a 48-degree night with a 13 MPH wind, is exactly the spot where command wobbles. The situational angle backs it. Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 against Minnesota. Jeremy Pena is back in the leadoff spot after missing over a month, which stabilizes the top of an order people are writing off. Even without Jose Altuve and Yainer Diaz, this lineup still produces quality contact on the road. A +127 dog with a 4-1 recent head-to-head edge and a regression candidate on the bump is the kind of price I'm buying every time. I'm not picking the team; I'm picking the number. I like the Astros |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 19, 2026 Red Sox vs Royals |
Royals +118 at betus |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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5* NO BRAINER on Royals +118 The Red Sox come into Kauffman at 20-27 with a lineup missing Triston Casas, Trevor Story, and Roman Anthony. That's the heart of the order on the IL, and it shows up in the names hitting fifth through ninth. The opposition case is the pitching gap. Boston's Ranger Suarez sits at 2.44 ERA with a 0.95 WHIP, while Royals starter Luinder Avila is 0-2 with a 5.28 ERA stepping into a primary role. That's real, and it's the reason this price is +118 instead of pick'em. Here's why the gap is smaller than the surface reads. Suarez's xERA is 3.17 against that 2.44 ERA, and his xwOBA of .284 versus .243 wOBA tells the same story. He's been getting defense and sequencing luck. Against a lineup with Casas and Story, that 2.44 holds up. Against this version of Boston, the regression bites. Avila's numbers are ugly but his peripherals are better than the 5.28 suggests, and he's facing a Red Sox order leaning on Andruw Monasterio at DH and Nick Sogard at short. That's not a group built to punish a soft-contact arm at Kauffman. Weather matters too. 54 degrees with a 12 MPH NNW wind at Kauffman kills carry. Light rain in the forecast keeps it a grind. Kansas City is 1-7 in their last 8 and the market has priced them like a team that can't win a baseball game. Bobby Witt and Vinnie Pasquantino still play here. Getting +118 with a live home dog against a diluted lineup is the spot. I like the Royals |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Boyd is a former collegiate golfer and University of Iowa Law grad that ensures you success in every sport he covers. Jimmy's quality sports selections with game-breaking analysis make him a major force in the handicapping industry for years to come. No Brainer: This is one of Jimmy’s highest rated plays. After reading his write-up on the game you will see why this play’s title is so fitting. These picks are reserved for major mismatch advantages and strong value plays. Heavy Hitter: Jimmy’s Heavy Hitter plays are backed by a wealth of statistical analysis and fit into one or more of his many winning systems. This is the well-rounded gem of Jimmy’s top plays, and it covers games from every angle. Vegas Insider: Nobody spots a winning system like Jimmy Boyd. His Vegas Insider label is reserved for plays backed by the strongest systems and trends on the board. Bailout Blowout: There is no better way to end the day than picking up a big win on the final game of the evening. Jimmy’s Bailout Blowouts come on late games and they have built a strong reputation as being a consistent winner. All of Jimmy’s picks get monitored around the web. Jimmy is one of the very few handicappers that have actually earned the stripes to be regarded as a top Industry player. There are not many handicappers in the industry that can match his long term success rates. |
